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Is the stock market really making new highs? Or is it just an illusion? “The longer this party goes on, the worse it’s going to be for the average investor.” – Mike Maloney. In this video, Mike shows you that despite the all-time record high set by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, stocks are actually worth less today than they were years ago. He proves this by measuring the historical values of the Dow in oil, copper, and gold and comparing them to today. You’ll see what’s driving stocks higher and higher and why a crash is coming. Learn how it works here: If you enjoyed watching this video, be sure to check out the Hidden Secrets of Money website at . It’s a world-leading educational series by Mike Maloney, the bestselling author of the Guide to Investing in Gold & Silver. As Mike explains in the series and his book, we live in an economic system that is made complicated by design. Basically, it’s set up so most people don’t even try to understand it. In Mike’s videos, he breaks down these concepts using easy-to-follow analogies, real pages from history, and animations that tie it all together.
And be sure to follow Mike on social media to stay up to date on his latest news and posts:
Mike Maloney is also the founder of GoldSilver.com ( ), which was one of the first websites ever to sell bullion online. It is well known for outstanding customer service and its competitive prices. If you’re a fan of Mike’s YouTube channel and need help buying gold and silver, his team is standing by to answer all your questions and make it easy. You can find out more at .
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49 thoughts on “DOW 20K: Is The Stock Market Really Setting New Highs? Mike Maloney”
that’s funny you call people buying in 2010 “smart money” since you were
already bearish on stocks back in that time
@LibertarianTV QE hasnt ended. look outside the US border. its just moved.
and it will keep on moving, and growing, until its replaced by something
+dr335 i’m french i know a QE is going on in the euro area, but we were
talking about the US market
Well, your statements are still wrong. QE has not ended. pretty much all QE
brought into existance in the US is still there. its just not growing, at
the moment. the ECB took the torch, but it will be passed on in turn, and i
would wager it will return to the US at some point.
And “stocks have been rising following the increase of profits” is also
false. Just google “pe ratio s&p 500”. Only twice in the history of mankind
has it been higher and that was before the techbubble burst and the crash
of 08-09. it’s no where near the previous peaks, but saying “value is
following profits” is untrue. it’s a bubble in the making.
you are totally right about malony giving bad advice in 2010 since there
has been alot more profit in stocks. but that demands that u actually sell
those stock before a future crash sets u back at inital, or less, money. i
see no signs of PMs losing me money/value unless forced to sell today, in
which case u overbought.
this can only end really really bad.
Thanks for clicking the ‘Like’ button to offset the 4 dislikes that were
placed before this video was 2 minutes old – ie, hadn’t even been watched
+Milo Y is now trolling me like a swamp creature from the FED with his
prestigious Finance degree in illusionomics. lol.
+Deathbydebt do what I did, visit his G+ profile and select block from the
frozen pizzas are the investment opportunity of a lifetime. They are
portable, divisible, fungible etc PLUS they can be eaten! invest NOW folks!
what about the electricity to keep them frozen
seal oil was much more practical.
Sounds like a rigged market. lol
Jackie Chiles is that you???
If the DOW has crashed in terms of gold, doesn’t this mean that the DOW can
only go up from this low point?
It’s best to chart it against the cost of living. That way it takes into
account the amount of inflation over the years.
+Milo Y I wasn’t saying whether it did or not, just that it’s the best way
to compare how it’s doing. It needs to stay ahead of the cost of living in
order to really be ahead. If it goes up 5%, but inflation is 5%, then
there is no real gain.
i don’t understand how the dow can be up when their earnings are down
across the board. good thing i don’t own any stock.
They are borrowing cheap money to buy back their own stocks
Zero interest Fed MONEY once rates go up the entire party stops.
Zyzyzx Zyzer which is this year. up for 3 hikes in a year?
good point, p/e has gone up almost straight line since 2011
that was a really good video Mike! you sounded so animated at the
beginning! Super informative video. I haven’t seen the perspectives offered
in this video anywhere else.
Whatever…go pick a fight with someone else. You like Mike, you don’t like
Mike… you seem confused. It’s o.k… I understand.
+Milo Y ya fun but it’s a once in a while game my brother in law has box
seats sea Hawks! He takes me once in awhile beer is to expensive! It’s fun
but it’s rare thing, I watch from home were it close to my BBQ & fridge! I
hope they finish the Constitution down town it is not the same! I miss the
P&I my Aunty use to spoil me as a kid over by you! Also
Loved the expo 86, that was a fun event!
Bellevue is my bread & butter! Lots of carpet cleaning over there I have
commercial accounts that pay very well some up to 2k a day! Trader Joe’s
some of the best cheap wine also, not sure if you guys have them over there!
+Milo Y my home was cheap 12 years ago but it’s over a million now! I for
saw the waterfront Price’s! Will see what happens after April, seems to be
that breeding time of year people lose there mind and bid every thing up!
To much taxes!
+Milo Y i was just checking out road to Roota, kind of interesting a must
to YouTube! Ya I do like the base ball cheap seats, the stadium is awesome
love the fries too! Stay away from the 2 buck Chuck but others are a little
more but not much can’t remember the name but in the morning I check out my
stash & let you know! Ya the North West is really good place to live! Trump
is going to bring our $ down a bit as we have been watching so it might be
a timing thing for you! Well my wife gave me the elbow which means my
YouTube insider trading has to wait tell tomorrow! Cheers!
im getting really tired of THE GREAT CRASH being postponed every year since
the 60’s. Maybe in the year 5079 it will come to be
nobody want a big crash
ivan beers…there have already been a number of market crashes since the
60s….dow lost 45% of its value in 1974, between 2000 and 2003 s&p dropped
50%, nasdaq 78%, and of course in 2008 just about every stock market lost
60% of its value or more. The next crash threatens to be even more
severe…of course the markets eventually recovered and i believe are
likely to do so again this time around (i hope!)…but how long do you want
to wait to break even? if we are lucky, maybe we will break even in a few
years after the next crash…but then again, maybe we won’t be so
lucky…the dow peaked in 1929 at 400 before losing 90% of its value over
the next 3 years…it wasn’t until 1954 that it breached the 400 level
again …25 years….(although in fairness factoring in reinvested
dividends and inflation you would have broken even before then, but
still…you had to wait many years before you broke even)
A more recent example…if you bought into the nasdaq in 2000 you would
have had to wait until 2016 before you broke even in nominal terms….in
real, inflation-adjusted terms , you would still be underwater….17 years
Why would you subject yourself and your portfolio to this kind of financial
risk if there is a way to protect yourself ?
Can you afford not to protect yourself? But the first step is to recognize
the danger and to recognize that crashes have already occurred…and could
be worse moving forward…But anyways..your money, your choice..Good luck
Interesting charts – currency supplies are massive. Ponzi scheme will end
Thank you Mike for the brilliant explanation of the charts. I learned a
lot. A+ video and thumbs up.
You know what comes after all times highs on the stock market don’t you. BE
Sidney Boudro life boats, but don’t worry, we’re on the unsinkable ship
Like I said good luck this time.
Currency is relative, value is not.
So if stocks are a lie and relative to other things stocks are not high,
then stocks could go to 30k?
We gotta speed up peeping.
Markets are efficient Mike, how’s gold working out for your average
jazzjackrabbits…markets are not efficient…they are not able to discount
the business cycle…markets are only able to anticipate financial/economic
events 6 months in advance…but i find it very curious that markets behave
as if the market participants have never heard of something called the
business cycle (specifically the 3-4 year inventory cycle). If markets were
efficient then they should be able to discount the lowered corporate
profitability that arises during the downcycle part of the cycle and not
behave so euphorically when profitability rebounds during the next
inevitable rebound…in other words, efficient and i believe by
implication, rational markets should display valuation volatility that
oscillates within a relatively narrow band…but this is not the case in
real life…especially during market tops (which i believe we are in now)
valuations are generally out of whack with the underlying economic
fundamentals… case in point…nasdaq stock market in the year 2000 topped
out at 5000 which corresponded to an average PE ratio of about
250….that’s the equivalent of paying for 250 years of profitability
today, which carries the implication of having to wait around for 250 years
to collect your 250 years worth of profits (to break even in other words).
Does that seem like an efficient , rational market to you?
Of course, the inevitable market collapse occurred and from 2000 to October
2002, the nasdaq lost 78% of its value. and btw the market had already lost
most its value by the time 911 occured , so don’t say 911 caused the
2000-2003 tech wreck…the tech wreck was the inevitable reaction to the
dot.com bubble that preceded it which had nothing to do with market
efficiency nor rationality
“How’s gold working out for your average investor?” well that all depends
on when they got in doesn’t it? if they got in early, they did well for
themselves, if not, well then not so much…but that’s the way it is with
mania/bubble…those that get in early profit, those that don’t lose…the
fundamental question at this point is whether this gold bubble/mania bubble
is over or is it really just beginning..i favor the latter based on
valuation considerations (dow/gold ratio, gold price monetary base ratio to
name a few – check out macrotrends website under
precious metals tab)
Conspiracy theories? What conspiracy theories? The business cycle is a
conspiracy theory? The markets are not wrong per se…they’re just
extremely short-sighted….in other words, they are kind of dumb, because
the people driving markets are short-sighted and especially during market
tops allow their emotions (greed) cloud their judgement…is it your
position that a 250 PE ratio on the nasdaq in 2000 was both rational and
efficient processing of public information?
Business cycles are a conspiracy, prices are a random walk based on
information entering the market.
the evidence for business cycles are based on historical data
series…anyone can look it up to see the evidence for themselves….with
respect to prices being a random walk you raise an interesting
point…Benoit Mandelbrot wrote an article for Scientific American in the
late 90s (don’t remember exact date) called “A multi-fractal walk down wall
street” He showed that observed market volatility was far too high if we
assumed that prices follow a random walk. He showed that the frequency of
severe market crashes was incompatible with such a model. In other words
market returns are fat-tailed. this is why Wall Street has to hire quants
(usually physics PH.D graduates) to “adjust” financial theoretical economic
models (based on random walks) to bring them in line with reality.
But let me ask you something else, if market prices are a random walk, then
why does the frequency of crashes correlate with excessive leverage and
debt levels? Is it your position that the 2008 GFM had nothing to do with
the massive build -up of mortgage debt?
Also, if business cycles are a conspiracy, then is it your position that
the recessions that regularly occur as a result of the operation of the
business cycle..are they a conspiracy too? So does that mean that all post
WW2 recessions that have occurred didn’t actually happen? that they were a
figment of our collective imagination?
Who’s afraid of truth?
// Resonates (rings-true) with me!
Very cool Mike , Always enjoy you videos.
The stock market is a head fake, only people buying and selling equities
are institutional traders and the FED. Buy silver, buy something that is
Thank you Mike! Love the videos and the charts!